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Corporate Finance

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Corporate Finance ­FIN 622
VU
Lesson 37
FINANCIAL DISTRESS AND FOREIGN EXCHANGE MARKET
The following topics are covered in this hand out:
Sources of financial distress
Effects of financial distress
Reorganization
We can divide the sources of financial distress into three categories:
a- Firm level causes of financial distress
b- Industry level causes
c- Macro level factors causing financial distress
a. Firm Level Causes
These factors are specific to a particular firm and include i) ownership and governance, b) operating risk
and c) leverage.
For example, agency costs connected with managerial discretion and debt, depending on the extent that
they are not mitigated through contracting devices can affect a firm's operational efficiency, leverage,
profitability and risk. However, if a firm is observed to be in financial distress, and even if the cause of the
distress can be traced explicitly to bad decisions by management, it may be difficult to distinguish whether
the decisions that contributed to distress are due to management's self-serving behavior or to
incompetence.
b. Industry Level Causes Competition:
Five forces of industry competition are useful for identifying possible industry level causes of financial
distress. These forces are 1) entry / exit barriers, 2) bargaining power of vendors 3) bargaining power of
buyer 4) threat of substitute products and 5) rivalry among competing firms.
A negative shock to an industry's product demand or costs especially if it is sustained over time, will
eventually force a shakeout of firms in the industry. The weakest firm will be forced into liquidation or
must consider being acquired by a stronger firm in the industry.
The leverage helps boost a firm's sales growth relative to that of its industry rivals because the firm commits
to aggressive competitions in the product markets, which leads less aggressive competitors to yields part of
their market share. The firm may deliberately choose low leverage so as to be able to pursue predatory
market strategies to squeeze a high-levered rival, perhaps to the point of bankruptcy.
The industry shocks contribute to the frequency of takeover and restructuring activity. Shocks include
deregulation, changes in input costs, and innovations in financing technology that induce or enable
alterations in industry structure. The inter-industry patterns in the rate of takeovers and restructurings are
directly related to the economic shocks borne by the sample industries.
Financial researchers and thinkers have investigated the effect of a bankruptcy announcement by one firm
on the values of other firms in the industry. There are two conflicting effects. On one hand, there may be
contagion effect. The market may lower the value of other firms in the industry because the bankruptcy
announcement reveals new negative information about the status of the industry as a whole. On the other
hand, the market may raise the values of other firms in the industry because on of their rival has failed.
The deregulation of an industry can induce financial distress in many firms within the industry as the
economic structure of the industry changes. Over the last decade, Pakistan has deregulated the
transportation industry (airline and rail), communication industry and several public sector giant industries
including Pakistan Steel.
c. Macro-Level Causes
Recessions create financial distress by narrowing the margin between cash flow and debt service. When the
flow constraint is relevant, a principal effect of drop in current income is the reduction of expenditure on
illiquid and long-lied assets. There are two reasons for this. First, lower current income increases the short
run probability that the flow constraint will have to be satisfied through costly means, for example, the
distress sales of assets, borrowing at unfavorable terms, sever reduction in current living standard, or as the
last resort, bankruptcy. Secondly, a drop in current income typically has ambiguous implications for the
consumers' estimates of future income flows and, hence, for the level of durables holdings consistent with
maintenance of solvency in the long run. Because durables are illiquid, it is more costly to correct an over
purchase than an under purchase. Assuming that waiting for new information will tend to resolve the
ambiguity created by the initial income fall even a risk neutral consumer will be motivated to defer durables
purchases until the uncertainty is resolved.
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Corporate Finance ­FIN 622
VU
Monetary Policy: liquidity reminds us the critical role of monetary policy on the nation's overall liquidity.
The state bank affects the level of aggregate liquidity primarily through its open market operations. These
operations involve the SBP buying or selling T-bills and Govt. securities out of its considerable inventory,
to affect its intended policy to ease or tighten liquidity in the banking system. When it buys bills, an
expansionary maneuver, it adds legal reserves to the banking industry, which the nation's banks can use to
create new loans on a multiplied basis. Selling bills has the opposite or contradictory effect. Short-term
interest rates fall when the SBP is pursuing an expansionary policy, and rise when contradictory policy is
being pursued.
The primary duty of central bank is to protect the purchasing power of rupee, while also allowing for a
sustainable level of real growth in the economy. The SBP operates under the assumptions that inflation is
positively related to real economic growth. On one hand, if real economic growth is weak, the state bank
can pursue an expansionary policy without much concern about inflation.
On the other hand, when economy is overheated, state bank eventually steps in with contradictory policy to
cool the economy and thereby reduce inflation. Of course, a consequence of contradictory monetary policy
is a rise in the rates on, and tighter limits on the availability of short-term loans.
Effects of Financial Distress:
Cost associated with the entire real world factors that we have covered so far are exacerbated when a fir is
operating under financial distress.
Loss of Tax Benefit: if a levered firm fails to make profits on a chronic basis, it looses the value of the tax
shield provided by debt interest and depreciation. Depending on the firm's initial leverage and depreciation
base, these losses alone can place the firm at a competitive and strategic disadvantage.
Transaction Costs: the cost of transacting in the financial markets is much higher fro firms in financial
distress. In some cases, the capital markets may be effectively closed to a firm that is in severe distress, in
part because, given the effort required by an investment bank that float the firm's equity or debt securities,
the required underwriter spread would be prohibitively high.
Increase in Illiquidity: significant losses in the market value of a firm's equity can have several negative
liquidity effects. First, the firm may lose some professionals who play vital role is supporting the flow of
information about a stock, which is critical to liquidity. Secondly, the investors' interest in trading that stock
may reduce resulting in increase in the bid-ask spread. Third, there are chances that stock exchange may de-
list that stock, but this will depend on the regulations of stock exchange.
At this point, the firm has lost most of its potential to raise equity funds; raising debt funds will be more
difficult as well. Moreover, this may come at a time when the firm is most in need of external funds to
survive.
Capital Reconstructions:
These types of schemes can be undertaken for different purposes. We can divide them into two broad
categories;
-  Scheme undertaken where company is in financial distress
-  Scheme undertaken where company is not in financial crisis
However, there may be a situation, which may have characteristics of both of the above situations. A
company may heading towards financial distress and decides to go for reconstruction.
The firms in financial distress may undertake restructuring to improve both their mix of different types of
capital and the timing of availability of funds. The main objectives of reorganization may be from the
following factors. It may be a single factor or combination of several.
-  To reduce the after tax cost of borrowing
-  To settle the loans sooner or later
-  To improve security of finance
-  To improve financial image of the company
-  To make company more attractive to the investors
-  To cleanse balance sheet
Types of reorganization:
The following are the types of reorganizations:
-  conversion of debt to equity or vice versa
-  conversion of equity from one class to other
-  conversion of debt from one class to another
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Corporate Finance ­FIN 622
VU
FOREIGN EXCHANGE MARKET
Today, most of the businesses are not just conducting their trade in one currency. They have to trade in
more than one currency. All the currencies except the home currency are known as foreign currencies. This
is extremely large market and most of the transactions are carried out using the telecommunication
technology like telephone, email, fax etc. The main market players are central banks, banks and For-ex
(Foreign exchange) dealers conducting trade on behalf of their clients including business firm, governments.
The existence of FX market is of crucial importance in the development of international trade that requires
the use of foreign currency. FX market is very competitive as there are several buyers and sellers,
standardized procedures and regulations, commodity is homogeneous and most of the times transactions
are being carried out over the phone without physical participation. The prices of currencies are determined
by demand and supply.
Exchange rates: an exchange rate is the price of one currency in terms of another. There are two currencies
involved ­ a base and variable. When a FX dealer quotes in terms of Pak Rs. / US $, then he is referring the
rate for the number of US $ to one Pak rupee.
For one exchange rate (Pak Rs. / US $) there are two types of rates normally quoted. That is bid and offer
rate. Bid rate is lower than the offered rate.
A dealer/bank may express PKR/US$ as 60.5500 ­ 60.5900
Bid price ­ lower price, a price at which the dealer will sell the variable currency.
Offer price ­ higher price, a price at which the dealer will buy the variable currency.
At 60.5500, dealer will sell US $ in exchange for PKR
At $ 60.5900 dealer will buy US $ in exchange for PKR
The difference between bid and offer prices is know as spread and represents the gross margin of the
FX dealer.
Spot Rates:
Foreign currencies can be traded on either spot or forward.
Trading spot means that the settlement will be now ­ extended to two working days after the transaction is
made. Buying or selling forward means that settlement will be made at an agreed future date. Therefore,
there will be different rates for spot and forward for an identical pair of currencies. Forward contracts have
settlement date up to one year with exception to major currencies where it can be two years.
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Table of Contents:
  1. INTRODUCTION TO SUBJECT
  2. COMPARISON OF FINANCIAL STATEMENTS
  3. TIME VALUE OF MONEY
  4. Discounted Cash Flow, Effective Annual Interest Bond Valuation - introduction
  5. Features of Bond, Coupon Interest, Face value, Coupon rate, Duration or maturity date
  6. TERM STRUCTURE OF INTEREST RATES
  7. COMMON STOCK VALUATION
  8. Capital Budgeting Definition and Process
  9. METHODS OF PROJECT EVALUATIONS, Net present value, Weighted Average Cost of Capital
  10. METHODS OF PROJECT EVALUATIONS 2
  11. METHODS OF PROJECT EVALUATIONS 3
  12. ADVANCE EVALUATION METHODS: Sensitivity analysis, Profitability analysis, Break even accounting, Break even - economic
  13. Economic Break Even, Operating Leverage, Capital Rationing, Hard & Soft Rationing, Single & Multi Period Rationing
  14. Single period, Multi-period capital rationing, Linear programming
  15. Risk and Uncertainty, Measuring risk, Variability of return–Historical Return, Variance of return, Standard Deviation
  16. Portfolio and Diversification, Portfolio and Variance, Risk–Systematic & Unsystematic, Beta – Measure of systematic risk, Aggressive & defensive stocks
  17. Security Market Line, Capital Asset Pricing Model – CAPM Calculating Over, Under valued stocks
  18. Cost of Capital & Capital Structure, Components of Capital, Cost of Equity, Estimating g or growth rate, Dividend growth model, Cost of Debt, Bonds, Cost of Preferred Stocks
  19. Venture Capital, Cost of Debt & Bond, Weighted average cost of debt, Tax and cost of debt, Cost of Loans & Leases, Overall cost of capital – WACC, WACC & Capital Budgeting
  20. When to use WACC, Pure Play, Capital Structure and Financial Leverage
  21. Home made leverage, Modigliani & Miller Model, How WACC remains constant, Business & Financial Risk, M & M model with taxes
  22. Problems associated with high gearing, Bankruptcy costs, Optimal capital structure, Dividend policy
  23. Dividend and value of firm, Dividend relevance, Residual dividend policy, Financial planning process and control
  24. Budgeting process, Purpose, functions of budgets, Cash budgets–Preparation & interpretation
  25. Cash flow statement Direct method Indirect method, Working capital management, Cash and operating cycle
  26. Working capital management, Risk, Profitability and Liquidity - Working capital policies, Conservative, Aggressive, Moderate
  27. Classification of working capital, Current Assets Financing – Hedging approach, Short term Vs long term financing
  28. Overtrading – Indications & remedies, Cash management, Motives for Cash holding, Cash flow problems and remedies, Investing surplus cash
  29. Miller-Orr Model of cash management, Inventory management, Inventory costs, Economic order quantity, Reorder level, Discounts and EOQ
  30. Inventory cost – Stock out cost, Economic Order Point, Just in time (JIT), Debtors Management, Credit Control Policy
  31. Cash discounts, Cost of discount, Shortening average collection period, Credit instrument, Analyzing credit policy, Revenue effect, Cost effect, Cost of debt o Probability of default
  32. Effects of discounts–Not effecting volume, Extension of credit, Factoring, Management of creditors, Mergers & Acquisitions
  33. Synergies, Types of mergers, Why mergers fail, Merger process, Acquisition consideration
  34. Acquisition Consideration, Valuation of shares
  35. Assets Based Share Valuations, Hybrid Valuation methods, Procedure for public, private takeover
  36. Corporate Restructuring, Divestment, Purpose of divestment, Buyouts, Types of buyouts, Financial distress
  37. Sources of financial distress, Effects of financial distress, Reorganization
  38. Currency Risks, Transaction exposure, Translation exposure, Economic exposure
  39. Future payment situation – hedging, Currency futures – features, CF – future payment in FCY
  40. CF–future receipt in FCY, Forward contract vs. currency futures, Interest rate risk, Hedging against interest rate, Forward rate agreements, Decision rule
  41. Interest rate future, Prices in futures, Hedging–short term interest rate (STIR), Scenario–Borrowing in ST and risk of rising interest, Scenario–deposit and risk of lowering interest rates on deposits, Options and Swaps, Features of opti
  42. FOREIGN EXCHANGE MARKET’S OPTIONS
  43. Calculating financial benefit–Interest rate Option, Interest rate caps and floor, Swaps, Interest rate swaps, Currency swaps
  44. Exchange rate determination, Purchasing power parity theory, PPP model, International fisher effect, Exchange rate system, Fixed, Floating
  45. FOREIGN INVESTMENT: Motives, International operations, Export, Branch, Subsidiary, Joint venture, Licensing agreements, Political risk