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Working capital management, Risk, Profitability and Liquidity - Working capital policies, Conservative, Aggressive, Moderate

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Corporate Finance ­FIN 622
VU
Lesson 26
WORKING CAPITAL MANAGEMENT
The following topics will be discussed in this lecture.
-  Working capital management
o  Risk, Profitability and Liquidity
-  Working capital policies
o  Conservative
o  Aggressive
o  Moderate
-  Risk and return of current liabilities
Working Capital Management
Decisions relating to working capital and short term financing are referred to as working capital management.
These involve managing the relationship between a firm's short-term assets and its short-term liabilities. The
goal of Working capital management is to ensure that the firm is able to continue its operations and that it
has sufficient cash flow to satisfy both maturing short-term debt and upcoming operational expenses.
Decision Criteria
By definition, Working capital management entails short term decisions - generally, relating to the next one
year period - which is "reversible". These decisions are therefore not taken on the same basis as Capital
Investment Decisions (NPV or related, as above) rather they will be based on cash flows and / or
profitability.
·  One measure of cash flow is provided by the cash conversion cycle - the net number of days from
the outlay of cash for raw material to receiving payment from the customer. As a management tool,
this metric makes explicit the inter-relatedness of decisions relating to inventories, accounts
receivable and payable, and cash. Because this number effectively corresponds to the time that the
firm's cash is tied up in operations and unavailable for other activities, management generally aims
at a low net count.
·  In this context, the most useful measure of profitability is Return on capital (ROC). The result is
shown as a percentage, determined by dividing relevant income for the 12 months by capital
employed; Return on equity (ROE) shows this result for the firm's shareholders. Firm value is
enhanced when, and if, the return on capital, which results from working capital management,
exceeds the cost of capital, which results from capital investment decisions as above. ROC
measures are therefore useful as a management tool, in that they link short-term policy with long-
term decision making.
Management of Working Capital
Guided by the above criteria, management will use a combination of policies and techniques for the
management of working capital. These policies aim at managing the current assets (generally cash and cash
equivalent, inventories and debtors) and the short term financing, such that cash flows and returns are
acceptable.
·  Cash Management. Identify the cash balance which allows for the business to meet day to day
expenses, but reduces cash holding costs.
·  Inventory Management. Identify the level of inventory which allows for uninterrupted
production but reduces the investment in raw materials - and minimizes reordering costs - and
hence increases cash flow.
·  Debtor's Management. Identify the appropriate credit policy, i.e. credit terms which will attract
customers, such that any impact on cash flows and the cash conversion cycle will be offset by
increased revenue and hence Return on Capital (or vice versa).
·  Short Term Financing. Identify the appropriate source of financing, given the cash conversion
cycle: the inventory is ideally financed by credit granted by the supplier; however, it may be
necessary to utilize a bank loan (or overdraft), or to "convert debtors to cash" through "factoring".
Financial Risk Management
Risk Management is the process of measuring risk and then developing and implementing strategies to
manage that risk. Financial risk management focuses on risks that can be managed ("hedged") using traded
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Corporate Finance ­FIN 622
VU
financial instruments (typically changes in commodity prices , internet rates, foreign exchange rates and
stock prices). Financial risk management will also play an important role in cash management.
This area is related to corporate finance in two ways. Firstly, firm exposure to business risk is a direct result
of previous Investment and Financing decisions. Secondly, both disciplines share the goal of creating, or
enhancing, firm value. All large corporations have risk management teams, and small firms practice
informal, if not formal, risk management.
Derivatives are the instruments most commonly used in financial risk management. Because unique
derivative contracts tend to be costly to create and monitor, the most cost-effective financial risk
management methods usually involve derivatives that trade on well-established financial markets. These
standard derivative instruments include options, future contacts, forward contacts, and swaps.
Working Capital Policies
·  Conservative ­ Use permanent capital for permanent assets and temporary assets.
·  Moderate ­ Match the maturity of the assets with the maturity of the financing.
·  Aggressive ­ Use short-term financing to finance permanent assets.
Let's view the characteristics of each policy.
1. CONSERVATIVE WORKING CAPITAL POLICY;
­  high level of investment in current assets
­  support any level of sales and production
­  high liquidity level
­  Avoid short-term financing to reduce risk, but decreases the potential for maximum value
creation because of the high cost of long-term debt and equity financing.
­  Borrowing long-term is considered less risky than borrowing short-term.
­  This approach involves the use of long-term debt and equity to finance all long-term fixed
assets and permanent assets, in addition to some part of temporary current assets.
­  The firm has a large amount of net working capital. It is a relatively low-risk position.
­  The safety of conservative approach has a cost.
­  Long-term financing is generally more expensive than short-term financing.
2. AGGRESSIVE WORKING CAPITAL POLICY;
­  Low level of investment
­  More short-term financing is used to finance current assets.
­  Support low level of production & sales
­  Borrowing short-term is considered more risky than borrowing long-term.
­  Firm risk increases, due to the risk of fluctuating interest rates, but the potential for higher
returns increases because of the generally low-cost financing.
­  This approach involves the use of short-term debt to finance at least the firm's temporary
assets, some or all of its permanent current assets, and possibly some of its long-term fixed
assets. (Heavy reliance on short term debt)
­  The firm has very little net working capital. It is more risky.
­  May be a negative net working capital. It is very risky
3. MODERATE WORKING CAPITAL POLICY
­  This approach tries to balance risk and return concerns.
­  Temporary current assets that are only going to be on the balance sheet for a short time
should be financed with short-term debt, current liabilities. And, permanent current assets
and long-term fixed assets that are going to be on the balance sheet for a long time should
be financed from long-term debt and equity sources.
­  The firm has a moderate amount of net working capital. It is a relatively amount of risk
balanced by a relatively moderate amount of expected return.
­  In the real world, each firm must decide on its balance of financing sources and its
approach to working capital management based on its particular industry and the firm's
risk and return strategy.
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Corporate Finance ­FIN 622
VU
LIQUIDITY & PROFITABILITY:
·  Lenders prefer a company having a large excess of current assets over current liabilities whereas the
owners prefer a high return.
·  Current assets have the advantage of being liquid, but holding them is not very profitable.
·  Cash account is paid no interest.
·  Accounts receivable earns no return.
·  Inventory earns no return until it is sold.
·  Non-current assets can be profitable, but they are usually not very liquid.
·  Firms are usually faced with creating trade-off in their working capital management policy.
·  They seek a balance between liquidity and profitability that reflects their desire for profit and their
need for liquidity.
OPTIMAL LEVEL OF CURRENT ASSETS
A firm's optimal level of current assets is reached when the optimal level of cash, inventory, accounts
receivable, and other current assets is achieved.
Cash: firms try to keep just enough cash on hand to conduct day-to-day business, while investing extra
amounts in short-term marketable securities.
Inventory: firms seek the level that reduces lost sales due to lack of inventory, while at the same time
holding down bad debt and collection expenses through sound credit policies.
· PROJECTING THE ALL THREE POLICIES
· CONSERVATIVE = A
· MODERATE = B
· AGGRESSIVE = C
LIQUIDITY
PROFITABILITY
RISK
HIGH
A
C
C
NOR
B
B
B
LOW
C
A
A
The chart tells us two things:
-  Profitability varies inversely with liquidity; increased liquidity can be achieved at the expense of
(decreased) profitability
-  Profitability & risk have same direction; in order to have greater profitability, we need to take
greater risk.
-  Conclusion: optimal level of each current asset will depend on the  management's attitude
towards risk & return.
Risk and Return of Current Liabilities
The goal of the return management process is to maximize earnings in the context of an acceptable level of
risk.
Firm's working capital is financed from short-term borrowing, long-term borrowing, equity financing, or
some mixture of all three.
The choice of the firm's working capital financing depends on manager's desire for profit versus their
degree of risk aversion.
The balance between the risk and return of financing options depends on the firm, its financial managers,
and its financing approaches.
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Table of Contents:
  1. INTRODUCTION TO SUBJECT
  2. COMPARISON OF FINANCIAL STATEMENTS
  3. TIME VALUE OF MONEY
  4. Discounted Cash Flow, Effective Annual Interest Bond Valuation - introduction
  5. Features of Bond, Coupon Interest, Face value, Coupon rate, Duration or maturity date
  6. TERM STRUCTURE OF INTEREST RATES
  7. COMMON STOCK VALUATION
  8. Capital Budgeting Definition and Process
  9. METHODS OF PROJECT EVALUATIONS, Net present value, Weighted Average Cost of Capital
  10. METHODS OF PROJECT EVALUATIONS 2
  11. METHODS OF PROJECT EVALUATIONS 3
  12. ADVANCE EVALUATION METHODS: Sensitivity analysis, Profitability analysis, Break even accounting, Break even - economic
  13. Economic Break Even, Operating Leverage, Capital Rationing, Hard & Soft Rationing, Single & Multi Period Rationing
  14. Single period, Multi-period capital rationing, Linear programming
  15. Risk and Uncertainty, Measuring risk, Variability of return–Historical Return, Variance of return, Standard Deviation
  16. Portfolio and Diversification, Portfolio and Variance, Risk–Systematic & Unsystematic, Beta – Measure of systematic risk, Aggressive & defensive stocks
  17. Security Market Line, Capital Asset Pricing Model – CAPM Calculating Over, Under valued stocks
  18. Cost of Capital & Capital Structure, Components of Capital, Cost of Equity, Estimating g or growth rate, Dividend growth model, Cost of Debt, Bonds, Cost of Preferred Stocks
  19. Venture Capital, Cost of Debt & Bond, Weighted average cost of debt, Tax and cost of debt, Cost of Loans & Leases, Overall cost of capital – WACC, WACC & Capital Budgeting
  20. When to use WACC, Pure Play, Capital Structure and Financial Leverage
  21. Home made leverage, Modigliani & Miller Model, How WACC remains constant, Business & Financial Risk, M & M model with taxes
  22. Problems associated with high gearing, Bankruptcy costs, Optimal capital structure, Dividend policy
  23. Dividend and value of firm, Dividend relevance, Residual dividend policy, Financial planning process and control
  24. Budgeting process, Purpose, functions of budgets, Cash budgets–Preparation & interpretation
  25. Cash flow statement Direct method Indirect method, Working capital management, Cash and operating cycle
  26. Working capital management, Risk, Profitability and Liquidity - Working capital policies, Conservative, Aggressive, Moderate
  27. Classification of working capital, Current Assets Financing – Hedging approach, Short term Vs long term financing
  28. Overtrading – Indications & remedies, Cash management, Motives for Cash holding, Cash flow problems and remedies, Investing surplus cash
  29. Miller-Orr Model of cash management, Inventory management, Inventory costs, Economic order quantity, Reorder level, Discounts and EOQ
  30. Inventory cost – Stock out cost, Economic Order Point, Just in time (JIT), Debtors Management, Credit Control Policy
  31. Cash discounts, Cost of discount, Shortening average collection period, Credit instrument, Analyzing credit policy, Revenue effect, Cost effect, Cost of debt o Probability of default
  32. Effects of discounts–Not effecting volume, Extension of credit, Factoring, Management of creditors, Mergers & Acquisitions
  33. Synergies, Types of mergers, Why mergers fail, Merger process, Acquisition consideration
  34. Acquisition Consideration, Valuation of shares
  35. Assets Based Share Valuations, Hybrid Valuation methods, Procedure for public, private takeover
  36. Corporate Restructuring, Divestment, Purpose of divestment, Buyouts, Types of buyouts, Financial distress
  37. Sources of financial distress, Effects of financial distress, Reorganization
  38. Currency Risks, Transaction exposure, Translation exposure, Economic exposure
  39. Future payment situation – hedging, Currency futures – features, CF – future payment in FCY
  40. CF–future receipt in FCY, Forward contract vs. currency futures, Interest rate risk, Hedging against interest rate, Forward rate agreements, Decision rule
  41. Interest rate future, Prices in futures, Hedging–short term interest rate (STIR), Scenario–Borrowing in ST and risk of rising interest, Scenario–deposit and risk of lowering interest rates on deposits, Options and Swaps, Features of opti
  42. FOREIGN EXCHANGE MARKET’S OPTIONS
  43. Calculating financial benefit–Interest rate Option, Interest rate caps and floor, Swaps, Interest rate swaps, Currency swaps
  44. Exchange rate determination, Purchasing power parity theory, PPP model, International fisher effect, Exchange rate system, Fixed, Floating
  45. FOREIGN INVESTMENT: Motives, International operations, Export, Branch, Subsidiary, Joint venture, Licensing agreements, Political risk